Remember Daytona last weekend? It's currently raining in Portland... a lot. And it's not going to stop anytime soon. If you want to know the trail conditions are on your local mountain bike trails for the next couple weeks, watch "2012 Daytona SX Main" on youtube, and that'll give you a pretty good idea. That's what it's going to be like the next time you ride your bike.
It's gonna be cold
and wet
there will be puddles everywhere
you're going to crash a lot and get super muddy
and even when you aren't crashing, you're going to be going way slower
The only real difference between your next ride and the Daytona SX is that no one cares about you or how your next ride goes.